Decide · measuring recovery

Subrogation recovery ratio: the KPIs that show a recovery unit works

The subrogation recovery ratio measures the book as much as the unit: in insurers' own statements it runs from about half a percent of claims paid to over 20%. Paired with speed, statutes expired and refunds to insureds, it tells a claims leader whether the recovery desk works; here is the scorecard, and where Subrogation Recovery Management produces each number.

Updated · 12 min read

A subrogation recovery ratio is the money an insurer recovers from responsible third parties, usually counted together with salvage, divided by the claims it paid. In U.S. insurers' annual statement data from 1996 to 2021, salvage and subrogation averaged 4.5% of net claims paid across all firms and 6.2% among firms that recovered anything, with the top fifth of recovering firms above 20% and the bottom fifth near half a percent. A ratio that varies that much measures the mix of business as much as the recovery desk, which is why it needs other numbers beside it.

For a claims executive the useful question is narrower: on the files this unit should recover, is it recovering, how fast, and is it losing any to dates? Botminds' Subrogation Recovery Management reports those numbers from the same files the specialists work, with every open recovery on one deadline tracker. The unit figures below are fictional sample data; the industry figures come from a peer-reviewed study in the NAIC's Journal of Insurance Regulation.

A recovery scorecard: nine measures, how each is calculated and where the data comes from

MeasureFormulaSource dataSample unit, 2026 to date
Recovery ratioRecovered ÷ paid losses, with the denominator statedClaim payments and recoveries; Schedule P for peers18.6% of paid losses with a liable third party
Speed by yearShare of a loss year’s recoveries collected by year 1, 2, 3Payment dates grouped by loss yearRead from the forecast’s payment curves
Days, demand to paymentMedian days from demand sent to money receivedDemand and payment dates97 days (2025: 131)
Statutes expiredFiles and amounts closed as time-barredClosing reason on each file0 since go-live (2025: 23 files, $412,600)
Red files without a decisionFiles inside the red line with no action takenThe deadline tracker9 on Monday 12 October, each escalated
Compromise depthAmount given up ÷ amount demanded, on compromised filesDemand and settlement by file418 files compromised, $2.14M recovered
Refunds to insureds on timeDeductible shares paid within the state’s deadline ÷ shares dueRecovery date and refund dateKept per state rule
Insured updates on timeStatus contacts sent within the state cycle ÷ contacts dueLetter dates against WA 60/180, NY 120Tracked like any other deadline
Forecast accuracyCollected ÷ forecast over the periodForecast and cash received96.4% over six months
Measures and formulas are a method, not an industry standard. Sample-unit values are fictional sample data. State cycles: Washington WAC 284-30-393; New York 11 NYCRR 216.7(g).Source: WAC 284-30-393; 11 NYCRR 216.7(g)

What is a subrogation recovery ratio, and what does it divide by?

It is recoveries divided by losses paid, and the denominator decides what it means. Bisco and Fier, whose study in the NAIC's journal covers 26 years of annual statements, use salvage and subrogation recovered over net claims paid, drawn from Schedule P of the statutory annual statement. That ratio covers every claim, including the many with nobody to recover from.

A recovery unit usually wants a narrower denominator. The sample unit reports 18.6% of paid losses "with a liable third party", which excludes the single-car crashes and storm claims nobody can subrogate. Neither choice is wrong; mixing them is. A unit that reports the narrow ratio internally and compares it with the broad ratio from public data will look far better than it is.

What is a good subrogation recovery rate? What insurers' own statements show

There is no single good number, because the line of business sets most of it. For auto physical damage, where salvage on total losses and subrogation on not-at-fault repairs both count, the industry ratio rose from roughly 11% of claims paid in 1996 to about 20% in 2021; as the authors put it, "for every five dollars paid in claims, one dollar was recouped". For liability lines the average over the period was 1.1% for commercial auto and 2% for personal auto.

Salvage and subrogation as a share of net claims paid, by fifth of recovering insurers

Top fifth
20.61%
Fourth fifth
4.86%
Middle fifth
3.14%
Second fifth
1.77%
Bottom fifth
0.54%
Mean ratio in each quintile, U.S. property-liability insurers with any salvage or subrogation recovery, all lines, 1996–2021 (Table 1, Panel B2). About a quarter of firm-years show no recovery at all and are excluded here.Source: Bisco & Fier, “How’s the Recovery?”, Journal of Insurance Regulation (NAIC), 2023

The top fifth recovers about 37 times what the bottom fifth does, on the authors' own reckoning. Much of that gap is mix: a specialist auto physical damage writer and a general liability writer will never post the same ratio. The same table shows something a ratio cannot hide, though: in roughly a quarter of the firm-years studied the insurer recovered nothing. The median firm, counting those, recovered 1.85% of net claims paid. A good rate is a rate that beats the unit's own book a year ago, on the same denominator and line mix.

How do you calculate a subrogation recovery rate without fooling yourself?

Fix the denominator, group by loss year and wait long enough. A common error is calendar-year arithmetic: this year's recoveries over this year's payments. Recoveries on liability lines arrive years after the payment, so a unit that recovers well on old files and badly on new ones looks healthy for two years before the ratio turns.

Grouping by the year of the loss avoids it. Each loss year's recoveries are compared with that year's payments, and a young loss year is compared with other loss years at the same age. The second error is mix: a ratio that rises because the book shifted toward auto physical damage has not improved the unit. Report it by line, or at least by physical damage and liability separately.

How fast should subrogation recoveries come in?

Fast on physical damage, slowly on liability. In the Schedule P data, "over 55% of recovery takes place in the first year for the auto physical damage line of business." On liability, about 28% of personal auto recoveries and 35% of commercial auto recoveries arrive in the first year, and roughly 76% by the end of the third, out of what is recovered over nine years. A speed measure has to be compared with the right curve.

Share of eventual recoveries collected, year by year after the loss

Personal auto liability76% by year 3
Year 128%
Year 2+31%
Year 3+17%
Later24%
  • Year 128%
  • Year 2+31%
  • Year 3+17%
  • Later24%
Commercial auto liability76% by year 3
Year 135%
Year 2+30%
Year 3+12%
Later24%
  • Year 135%
  • Year 2+30%
  • Year 3+12%
  • Later24%
Mean shares by firm (Table 3), liability lines, with total recovery taken as what is recovered within nine years of the loss, as Schedule P reports it. Auto physical damage, measured over two years, recovers 56% in year one. Our rounding.Source: Bisco & Fier, “How’s the Recovery?”, Journal of Insurance Regulation (NAIC), 2023

Speed is worth money even when the total is the same. The authors point out that faster recovery matches inflows to claim payments and makes future recovery more predictable. For a unit, the practical measure is the median days from demand to payment by segment. The sample unit's fell from 131 days in 2025 to 97 in 2026; those are fictional figures, but the measure is simple to compute from any claim system that dates its demands and payments.

Statutes expired: the measure that should be zero

Every other measure trades off against something; this one does not. A file lost to a limitation period is a recovery the unit had and gave away, usually because a date was wrong or a referral was late. The measure is the count and demanded amount of files closed as time-barred each year, with the reason.

It should be reported with its leading indicator: the files inside the red line today with no decision taken. The sample unit sets the line at 14 days to a statute or the unit's own file-by date. On Monday 12 October nine files sat inside it, $296,385 between them, each on the supervisor's list with the action it needed. The way that list is produced each morning is traced in the statute of limitations tracker.

The sample unit's scorecard on the leakage leader's screen

18.6%

recovery ratio, of paid losses with a liable third party

97days

median from demand to payment, down from 131 in 2025

0files

lost to an expired statute since go-live, against 23 in 2025

$9.84M

recovered on 1,651 files in 2026 to date

Fictional sample data on the solution's aging and outcomes screen; go-live 1 June 2026 in the sample. The design target for statutes missed is zero.

The measures an insured and an examiner would choose: refunds and updates

Two measures belong on the scorecard because regulators already test them. The NAIC's market conduct examination standards test whether insureds' deductibles are refunded promptly and correctly after a recovery (NAIC Market Regulation Handbook; how to evidence it is in subrogation recovery accounting). New York sets "timely" at 30 calendar days from the recovery for auto physical damage. Washington requires the insurer to contact its insured within 60 calendar days of starting subrogation and at least every 180 days after.

Both are easy to measure and easy to miss. Refunds on time is shares paid within the state's deadline over shares due; updates on time is contacts sent within the cycle over contacts due. A unit that scores well on recovery ratio and badly on these two is collecting the insurer's money and neglecting the insured's, which is the pattern an examination finding describes.

How do you benchmark subrogation performance against other insurers?

With public Schedule P data, by line, and with care about accounting choices. The same study found that insurers which accrue for anticipated salvage and subrogation tended to recover faster on some lines; on commercial auto liability, "insurers that accrue anticipated salvage and subrogation collect a higher percentage of recovery in the third year than firms that do not accrue." Roughly two-thirds of firm-years in the sample accrued.

Benchmarks have limits worth stating to a board. Schedule P combines salvage and subrogation, so a carrier with heavy total-loss volume looks like a strong subrogator. Group members recover more slowly on physical damage in the study, possibly because subrogating against an affiliate may not pay. And the liability results were mixed, which the authors attribute partly to social inflation, the speed of litigation and negotiations insurers control less. A peer benchmark is a prompt for questions, not a target. For the cycle-time and quiet-file measures on the paying side, see claims management KPIs that move money.

Where the scorecard numbers come from: one screen for aging, outcomes and statutes missed

Recovery aging and outcomes for 2026 to date for the VP Claims Integrity: recovered $9.84M on 1,651 files; recovery ratio 18.6% of paid losses with a liable third party; median 97 days from demand to payment, 131 in 2025; statutes missed since go-live 0, since 1 Jun 2026, against 23 files and $412,600 in 2025. Open files by age of the loss with open recoverable; outcomes of 1,906 closed files; recovery by specialist with open and red files.
Fictional sample unit. Every figure links back to the files behind it, so a number on the scorecard can be opened rather than argued about.

Where Subrogation Recovery Management produces each number, and where it does not

The solution produces the operational measures; finance and actuarial teams still own the statutory ones. The deadline tracker gives red files without a decision and statutes expired. The correspondence reader dates every demand, reply and payment, which is what days-to-payment and compromise depth need. The recovery forecaster fits payment curves by segment from closed recoveries and reports how much of its forecast was collected, 96.4% over six months in the sample.

It does not set reserves or produce Schedule P, and it does not decide which denominator a carrier should publish. Its forecast is labelled as an estimate and never changes booked recoveries. How the five money figures behind the ratio reconcile on each file is set out in subrogation recovery accounting.

Forecast accuracy as a measure: expected cash by month, and what protecting the red files adds

The recovery forecast for the finance analyst: expected October to March $2,531,660 with the red files protected; this quarter $1,433,930; added if red files protected $129,760 on 9 files with a face of $296,385; last six months forecast against actual 96.4%, $2.21M forecast and $2.13M collected. A bar chart of expected cash by month from October 2026 to March 2027, and the files behind November 2026 with why each is expected that month.
Fictional sample unit. The forecast comes from how 6,912 closed recoveries paid from 2021 to 2026; it is an estimate, refitted monthly.

Before the scorecard goes to the board

  1. State the denominator in the label

    All net claims paid, or paid losses with a liable third party; never mix them in one chart.

  2. Group recoveries by the year of the loss

    Calendar-year ratios flatter a unit that recovers on old files and stalls on new ones.

  3. Split physical damage from liability

    Their curves differ: over half recovered in year one against about a third or less.

  4. Report statutes expired with the red-file count

    The outcome and its leading indicator, side by side.

  5. Add refunds and updates on time

    The two measures an examiner tests and an insured notices.

Questions people ask

What is subrogation leakage?

Money a carrier could have recovered and did not: files never identified, demands that left out items, compromises nobody explained, awards never collected and claims lost to an expired statute. Each type shows up in a different measure, which is why one ratio cannot show where leakage sits.

What is the average subrogation recovery rate?

Across U.S. property-liability insurers from 1996 to 2021, salvage and subrogation averaged 4.5% of net claims paid, or 6.2% among firms that recovered anything, with a median of 1.85% counting the firms that recovered nothing. By line, auto physical damage reached about 20% in 2021, while auto liability lines averaged 1% to 2% over the period.

Does the subrogation recovery ratio include salvage?

In statutory data, yes: Schedule P reports salvage and subrogation together, so a carrier with many total losses sold for salvage shows a higher ratio. An internal subrogation ratio should separate them, since salvage depends on auctions and subrogation on liability and negotiation.

What is days from demand to payment?

The median number of days between sending a demand and receiving the money, a simple speed measure any unit can compute from its own dates. The sample unit's was 97 days in 2026, down from 131; compare it by segment, since forum files and court files pay on very different clocks.

How often should a recovery scorecard be reviewed?

Red files and expired statutes daily or weekly, because they can still be acted on; ratios and speed by loss year quarterly, because they move slowly. Liability recoveries keep arriving for years, so a quarterly ratio on a young loss year mostly measures how young it is.

Should the recovery ratio include the insured's deductible?

Not in the insurer's own ratio. The deductible share belongs to the policyholder under the state's sharing rule, so counting it flatters the ratio by money the insurer passes on. Arbitration Forums, an insurer-member not-for-profit, likewise leaves the deductible out of "total company-paid damages" when applying its forum limit.

Subrogation Recovery Management.
See it on your own files.

An agentic solution from Botminds. Every open recovery on one timeline: what is due, what is about to expire, and what the agents have already chased. Book a demo, or explore how it works.